December 29, 2025 7:43 PM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat 2025-12-29 19:30:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 63.6 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Nuggets are shooting 53.4 percent from the field which is much better than the Heat who are forecasted to shoot 47.7 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 43.2 to 39.2. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 12.7 vs 16.2 for the Nuggets. The Nuggets are making 13.2 three pointers on 37.0 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 14.4 three pointers on 38.1 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 44.2, Norman Powell 27.0 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 14.0, Davion Mitchell 5.3 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 13.5, Kel'el Ware 8.8 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA 2.5 TOTAL 245.0. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 22-9 Miami Heat 17-15 ATS Denver Nuggets 18-13 Sweat Barometer 1.4 Miami Heat 17-13 Sweat Barometer 2.5 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 22-8 Avg Over/Under Line 15.2 Miami Heat 15-16 Avg Over/Under Line 1.1 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 15-15 Miami Heat 16-12 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 19-11 Miami Heat 14-16

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road12-4, 75.0% 800Record at Home11-5, 69.0% 600Denver Nuggets
VS Miami Heat1-0, 100.0% 100VS Denver Nuggets0-1, 0.0% -110Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better10-4, 71.0% 560vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28.0% -930Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite9-3, 75.0% 570Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100.0% 300Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off11-7, 61.0% +330Playing Back-to-Back Days10-5, 67.0% +450Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Denver Nuggets
VS Miami Heat2-0, 100.0% 200VS Denver Nuggets0-2, 0.0% -220Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite20-13, 61.0% 570Record as Home Underdog0-12, 0.0% -1320Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-3, 80.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-9, 44.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-1, 86.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home16-5, 76.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road9-12, 43.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 8-7, 53.0% +30 Miami Heat Home Games: 5-8, 38.0% -380 POINT SPREAD (Last Season) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 8-7, 53.0% +30 Miami Heat Home Games: 5-8, 38.0% -380

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 9-6, 60.0% + 219 Miami Heat Home Games: 7-9, 44.0% -263 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 9-6, 60.0% + 219 Miami Heat Home Games: 7-9, 44.0% -263

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 8-8, 50.0% -174 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-12, 25.0% +-535 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 8-8, 50.0% -174 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-12, 25.0% -535

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