December 23, 2025 7:02 PM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks 2025-12-23 20:00:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 61.4 percent favorites over the Dallas Mavericks. The Nuggets are shooting 52.2 percent from the field and the Mavericks are forecasted to shoot 52.9 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Nuggets projected for 38.6 rebounds vs. 39.0 for the Mavericks. The Mavericks are committing fewer turnovers at 12.0 vs 13.9 for the Nuggets. The Nuggets are making 13.4 three pointers on 36.4 percent from three point range. The Mavericks are making 7.4 three pointers on 30.8 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 39.9, Cooper Flagg 32.7 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 11.9, Ryan Nembhard 8.1 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 10.4, Anthony Davis 12.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DAL 6.5 TOTAL 235.5. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 21-7 Dallas Mavericks 11-19 ATS Denver Nuggets 17-11 Sweat Barometer 1.9 Dallas Mavericks 13-15 Sweat Barometer -0.7 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 19-8 Avg Over/Under Line 13.8 Dallas Mavericks 15-15 Avg Over/Under Line 0.0 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 13-14 Dallas Mavericks 19-9 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 16-11 Dallas Mavericks 15-14

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road12-2, 86.0% 1000Record at Home8-9, 47.0% -100Denver Nuggets
VS Dallas Mavericks0-1, 0.0% -110VS Denver Nuggets1-0, 100.0% 100Dallas Mavericks
vs Team Under .50011-4, 73.0% 660vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31.0% -710Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite9-1, 90.0% 790Record as Home Underdog5-5, 50.0% -50Denver Nuggets
Playing Back-to-Back Days7-4, 64.0% +260Playing Back-to-Back Days9-6, 60.0% +240Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home31-20, 61.0% 1100Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks2-1, 67.0% 90VS Denver Nuggets1-2, 33.0% -120Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite20-13, 61.0% 570Record as Home Underdog7-7, 50.0% -70Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110After 1 or More Days Off62-41, 60.0% +1690Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDDallas MavericksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-3, 77.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-9, 47.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-28, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home15-5, 75.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road11-9, 55.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-6, 54.0% +40 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 11-4, 73.0% +660 POINT SPREAD (Last Season) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-6, 54.0% +40 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 11-4, 73.0% +660

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-6, 54.0% + 37 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 10-6, 63.0% + 310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-6, 54.0% + 37 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 10-6, 63.0% + 310

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -281 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 11-6, 65.0% 980 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -281 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 11-6, 65.0% +980

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