November 19, 2025 7:31 PM EST

NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat 2025-11-19 19:30:00.0

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The Miami Heat are solid 58.2 percent favorites over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are shooting 45.6 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 49.0 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Warriors projected for 43.1 rebounds vs. 43.1 for the Heat. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 13.8 vs 17.5 for the Warriors. The Warriors are making 18.9 three pointers on 36.8 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 14.6 three pointers on 40.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Moses Moody 24.3, Norman Powell 27.7 ASSISTS: Brandin Podziemski 9.1, Davion Mitchell 5.6 REBOUNDS: Brandin Podziemski 9.4, Kel'el Ware 9.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA -6.5 TOTAL 235.0. WIN-LOSS Golden State Warriors 7-9 Miami Heat 7-7 ATS Golden State Warriors 7-9 Sweat Barometer -2.1 Miami Heat 8-5 Sweat Barometer 0.1 OVER-UNDER Golden State Warriors 10-6 Avg Over/Under Line 0.2 Miami Heat 9-5 Avg Over/Under Line 10.6 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Golden State Warriors 10-6 Miami Heat 10-2 OVER-UNDER PICKS Golden State Warriors 7-9 Miami Heat 6-8

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64.0% 300Record at Home2-5, 29.0% -300Golden State Warriors
VS Miami Heat0-0 No GamesVS Golden State Warriors0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50.0% -30vs Team Under .5007-3, 70.0% 370Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog3-2, 60.0% 80Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50.0% -20Golden State Warriors
Playing Back-to-Back Days5-5, 50.0% -50After 1 or More Days Off4-2, 67.0% +180Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Golden State WarriorsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-17, 60.0% 800Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Golden State Warriors
VS Miami Heat1-1, 50.0% -10VS Golden State Warriors1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410Golden State Warriors
Record As Road Underdog9-14, 39.0% -640Record As Home Favorite23-8, 74.0% 1420Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off46-34, 57.0% +860After 1 or More Days Off47-40, 54.0% +300Golden State Warriors

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Golden State WarriorsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-3, 73.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-3, 57.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR18-23, 44.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home7-4, 64.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road7-1, 88.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 5-6, 45.0% -160 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +290 POINT SPREAD (Last Season) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 5-6, 45.0% -160 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +290

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 5-6, 45.0% -145 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-5, 29.0% -318 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 5-6, 45.0% -145 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-5, 29.0% -318

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 4-7, 36.0% +108 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-4, 43.0% 32 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Golden State Warriors Road Games: 4-7, 36.0% +108 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-4, 43.0% +32

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