January 04, 2026 5:40 PM EST

NBA: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat 2026-01-04 18:00:00.0

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The Miami Heat are solid 63.0 percent favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are shooting 50.0 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 48.3 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Pelicans projected for 43.1 rebounds vs. 42.4 for the Heat. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 14.0 for the Pelicans. The Pelicans are making 10.8 three pointers on 34.9 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 16.3 three pointers on 39.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Zion Williamson 29.4, Norman Powell 30.1 ASSISTS: Derik Queen 4.2, Davion Mitchell 6.0 REBOUNDS: Derik Queen 6.8, Kel'el Ware 10.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA -8.0 TOTAL 244.0. WIN-LOSS New Orleans Pelicans 8-28 Miami Heat 19-16 ATS New Orleans Pelicans 19-15 Sweat Barometer -0.5 Miami Heat 19-14 Sweat Barometer 3.2 OVER-UNDER New Orleans Pelicans 21-15 Avg Over/Under Line 3.8 Miami Heat 17-17 Avg Over/Under Line 1.6 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS New Orleans Pelicans 18-15 Miami Heat 17-14 OVER-UNDER PICKS New Orleans Pelicans 20-16 Miami Heat 16-17

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

New Orleans PelicansATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road2-12, 14.0% -1000Record at Home12-6, 67.0% 600Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat0-0 No GamesVS New Orleans Pelicans0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-19, 5.0% -1990vs Team Under .50012-2, 86.0% 980Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog2-12, 14.0% -1120Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62.0% 250Miami Heat
Playing Back-to-Back Days5-7, 42.0% -270Playing Back-to-Back Days11-6, 65.0% +440Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

New Orleans PelicansATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-16, 63.0% 1100Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300New Orleans Pelicans
VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110VS New Orleans Pelicans1-0, 100.0% 100Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better28-30, 48.0% -500vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410New Orleans Pelicans
Record As Road Underdog11-10, 52.0% 0Record As Home Favorite23-8, 74.0% 1420Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off49-38, 56.0% +720After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400New Orleans Pelicans

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Orleans PelicansRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-7, 50.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-9, 50.0% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-26, 40.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home18-11, 62.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road12-12, 50.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -70 Miami Heat Home Games: 5-10, 33.0% -600 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% -230 Miami Heat Home Games: 0-5, 0.0% -550

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -63 Miami Heat Home Games: 9-9, 50.0% -81 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% -209 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 2-12, 14.0% -429 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-14, 22.0% +-735 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New Orleans Pelicans Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% +58 Miami Heat Home Games: 0-6, 0.0% -600

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