January 21, 2026 6:56 AM EST

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks 2026-01-21 21:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are solid 62.0 percent favorites over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Thunder are shooting 49.0 percent from the field and the Bucks are forecasted to shoot 48.4 percent. The Bucks have the rebounding advantage at 42.0 to 38.9. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 11.5 vs 13.6 for the Bucks. The Thunder are making 14.7 three pointers on 36.8 percent from three point range. The Bucks are making 13.6 three pointers on 38.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 34.2, Giannis Antetokounmpo 29.9 ASSISTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 9.2, Kevin Porter, Jr 6.1 REBOUNDS: Chet Holmgren 8.9, Giannis Antetokounmpo 9.6 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIL 9.5 TOTAL 227.5. WIN-LOSS Oklahoma City Thunder 36-8 Milwaukee Bucks 18-24 ATS Oklahoma City Thunder 21-22 Sweat Barometer 2.2 Milwaukee Bucks 19-22 Sweat Barometer -2.5 OVER-UNDER Oklahoma City Thunder 25-19 Avg Over/Under Line 4.5 Milwaukee Bucks 16-26 Avg Over/Under Line -1.4 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 23-20 Milwaukee Bucks 21-20 OVER-UNDER PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 16-26 Milwaukee Bucks 19-22

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDMilwaukee BucksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-5, 76.0% 1100Record at Home9-10, 47.0% -100Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Milwaukee Bucks0-0 No GamesVS Oklahoma City Thunder0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50020-1, 95.0% 1890vs Team .500 or Better6-18, 25.0% -1380Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite15-5, 75.0% 950Record as Home Underdog4-6, 40.0% -260Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off15-12, 56.0% +180After 1 or More Days Off12-14, 46.0% -340Oklahoma City Thunder

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Bucks

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDMilwaukee BucksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road26-19, 58.0% 700Record at Home33-12, 73.0% 2100Milwaukee Bucks
VS Milwaukee Bucks1-1, 50.0% -10VS Oklahoma City Thunder1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260vs Team .500 or Better29-27, 52.0% -70Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite17-11, 61.0% 490Record as Home Underdog5-0, 100.0% 500Milwaukee Bucks
After 1 or More Days Off60-27, 69.0% +3030After 1 or More Days Off49-36, 58.0% +940Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oklahoma City ThunderRECORDMilwaukee BucksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-8, 62.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-10, 47.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-20, 56.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-20, 53.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home15-16, 48.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road12-17, 41.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 12-8, 60.0% +320 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 10-9, 53.0% +10 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 5-2, 71.0% +280 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 3-0, 100.0% +300

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 9-11, 45.0% -281 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 8-10, 44.0% -272 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% + 164 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 2-0, 100.0% + 182

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 9-12, 43.0% -308 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 9-10, 47.0% 150 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 4-3, 57.0% +358 Milwaukee Bucks Home Games: 2-1, 67.0% +440

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