January 20, 2026 8:39 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings 2026-01-20 22:00:00.0

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The Miami Heat are solid 65.0 percent favorites over the Sacramento Kings. The Heat are shooting 49.9 percent from the field and the Kings are forecasted to shoot 47.1 percent. The Kings have the rebounding advantage at 42.2 to 39.4. The Kings are committing fewer turnovers at 12.5 vs 13.8 for the Heat. The Heat are making 15.0 three pointers on 41.0 percent from three point range. The Kings are making 11.4 three pointers on 35.2 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Norman Powell 23.9, DeMar DeRozan 18.9 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 5.9, Russell Westbrook 6.0 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 8.1, Domantas Sabonis 8.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at SAC 3.0 TOTAL 236.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 22-21 Sacramento Kings 12-31 ATS Miami Heat 23-18 Sweat Barometer 1.6 Sacramento Kings 16-25 Sweat Barometer -2.9 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 21-21 Avg Over/Under Line 1.0 Sacramento Kings 20-23 Avg Over/Under Line 4.0 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 20-19 Sacramento Kings 21-20 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 18-23 Sacramento Kings 20-23

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDSacramento KingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-14, 33.0% -700Record at Home9-14, 39.0% -500Sacramento Kings
VS Sacramento Kings0-1, 0.0% -110VS Miami Heat1-0, 100.0% 100Sacramento Kings
vs Team Under .50012-3, 80.0% 870vs Team .500 or Better8-22, 27.0% -1620Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite1-3, 25.0% -230Record as Home Underdog6-12, 33.0% -720Miami Heat
Playing Back-to-Back Days13-7, 65.0% +530After 1 or More Days Off12-11, 52.0% -10Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Sacramento Kings

Miami HeatATS RECORDSacramento KingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home25-17, 60.0% 800Sacramento Kings
VS Sacramento Kings2-0, 100.0% 200VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better26-32, 45.0% -920Sacramento Kings
Record as Road Favorite12-4, 75.0% 760Record as Home Underdog5-2, 71.0% 280Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off48-39, 55.0% +510After 1 or More Days Off44-37, 54.0% +330Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDSacramento KingsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-10, 50.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-13, 43.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-20, 52.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home18-15, 55.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road20-20, 50.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 13-7, 65.0% +530 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 14-8, 64.0% +520 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-3, 57.0% +70 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 5-5, 50.0% -50

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 7-12, 37.0% -563 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 8-15, 35.0% -772 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 0-6, 0.0% -600 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 6-5, 55.0% + 46

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 8-13, 38.0% -146 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 12-11, 52.0% 1014 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-5, 29.0% -130 Sacramento Kings Home Games: 5-6, 45.0% +814

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