January 14, 2026 7:11 PM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks 2026-01-14 21:30:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 58.6 percent favorites over the Dallas Mavericks. The Nuggets are shooting 45.6 percent from the field and the Mavericks are forecasted to shoot 49.5 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Nuggets projected for 42.0 rebounds vs. 43.3 for the Mavericks. The Nuggets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.6 vs 15.5 for the Mavericks. The Nuggets are making 16.5 three pointers on 37.0 percent from three point range. The Mavericks are making 13.1 three pointers on 35.9 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Jamal Murray 27.6, Cooper Flagg 24.9 ASSISTS: Jamal Murray 10.5, Cooper Flagg 4.9 REBOUNDS: Peyton Watson 5.6, Cooper Flagg 6.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DAL -2.5 TOTAL 224.0. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 27-13 Dallas Mavericks 15-25 ATS Denver Nuggets 24-16 Sweat Barometer 1.0 Dallas Mavericks 16-22 Sweat Barometer -1.2 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 26-13 Avg Over/Under Line 11.3 Dallas Mavericks 19-21 Avg Over/Under Line -0.6 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 19-20 Dallas Mavericks 23-15 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 23-16 Dallas Mavericks 21-18

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-7, 70.0% 900Record at Home11-10, 52.0% 100Denver Nuggets
VS Dallas Mavericks0-2, 0.0% -220VS Denver Nuggets2-0, 100.0% 200Dallas Mavericks
vs Team Under .50014-7, 67.0% 630vs Team .500 or Better7-13, 35.0% -730Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog6-2, 75.0% 380Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50.0% -40Denver Nuggets
Playing Back-to-Back Days10-7, 59.0% +230After 1 or More Days Off6-12, 33.0% -720Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Mavericks

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDDallas MavericksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home31-20, 61.0% 1100Dallas Mavericks
VS Dallas Mavericks2-1, 67.0% 90VS Denver Nuggets1-2, 33.0% -120Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog7-6, 54.0% 40Record As Home Favorite24-13, 65.0% 970Dallas Mavericks
After 1 or More Days Off62-29, 68.0% +3010After 1 or More Days Off62-41, 60.0% +1690Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDDallas MavericksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-6, 73.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-11, 48.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-28, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home22-8, 73.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road15-14, 52.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 12-10, 55.0% +100 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 13-6, 68.0% +640 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 5-4, 56.0% +60 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 13-9, 59.0% + 283 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 12-8, 60.0% + 292 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 6-3, 67.0% + 246 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 11-12, 48.0% +287 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 13-8, 62.0% 1255 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 4-5, 44.0% +568 Dallas Mavericks Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% +175

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