January 11, 2026 4:44 AM EST

NBA: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets 2026-01-11 20:00:00.0

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The Milwaukee Bucks are solid 64.0 percent favorites over the Denver Nuggets. The Bucks are shooting 51.3 percent from the field which is much better than the Nuggets who are forecasted to shoot 44.9 percent. The Bucks have the rebounding advantage at 43.7 to 37.2. The Nuggets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 14.5 for the Bucks. The Bucks are making 13.1 three pointers on 38.2 percent from three point range. The Nuggets are making 16.3 three pointers on 38.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Giannis Antetokounmpo 32.2, Jamal Murray 27.6 ASSISTS: Kevin Porter, Jr 6.7, Jamal Murray 9.7 REBOUNDS: Giannis Antetokounmpo 10.1, Peyton Watson 4.8 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DEN 2.0 TOTAL 223.5. WIN-LOSS Milwaukee Bucks 17-21 Denver Nuggets 25-13 ATS Milwaukee Bucks 18-19 Sweat Barometer -1.5 Denver Nuggets 22-16 Sweat Barometer 0.8 OVER-UNDER Milwaukee Bucks 15-23 Avg Over/Under Line -1.4 Denver Nuggets 25-12 Avg Over/Under Line 12.0 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Milwaukee Bucks 19-18 Denver Nuggets 18-19 OVER-UNDER PICKS Milwaukee Bucks 18-19 Denver Nuggets 22-15

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Milwaukee BucksATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road8-12, 40.0% -400Record at Home10-6, 63.0% 400Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Bucks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-14, 30.0% -940vs Team Under .50012-7, 63.0% 430Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 63.0% 170Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0.0% -220Milwaukee Bucks
Playing Back-to-Back Days7-7, 50.0% -70Playing Back-to-Back Days9-7, 56.0% +130Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Milwaukee BucksATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road18-25, 42.0% -700Record at Home37-11, 77.0% 2600Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets1-1, 50.0% -10VS Milwaukee Bucks1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better29-27, 52.0% -70vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite17-14, 55.0% 160Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100.0% 100Milwaukee Bucks
After 1 or More Days Off50-37, 57.0% +930After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BucksRECORDDenver NuggetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-13, 35.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-6, 63.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-21, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-27, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home15-17, 47.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road22-8, 73.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 10-9, 53.0% +10 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 7-9, 44.0% -290 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 5-4, 56.0% +60 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -240

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 11-9, 55.0% + 101 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 10-6, 63.0% + 310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 3-6, 33.0% -327 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 8-12, 40.0% -457 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 6-10, 38.0% 919 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Bucks Road Games: 4-5, 44.0% -231 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -221

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