January 11, 2026 4:44 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 2026-01-11 19:00:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are solid 73.7 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 43.2 percent from the field and the Thunder are forecasted to shoot 48.2 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 46.3 to 42.1. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 6.8 vs 16.7 for the Heat. The Heat are making 14.8 three pointers on 38.7 percent from three point range. The Thunder are making 14.3 three pointers on 34.3 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Norman Powell 21.7, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 31.7 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 4.7, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 7.8 REBOUNDS: Kel'el Ware 10.2, Chet Holmgren 8.5 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at OKC -14.0 TOTAL 231.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 20-18 Oklahoma City Thunder 32-7 ATS Miami Heat 20-16 Sweat Barometer 1.8 Oklahoma City Thunder 18-20 Sweat Barometer 1.5 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 17-20 Avg Over/Under Line 0.2 Oklahoma City Thunder 22-17 Avg Over/Under Line 5.4 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 17-17 Oklahoma City Thunder 19-19 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 16-20 Oklahoma City Thunder 14-23

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Miami HeatATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-12, 37.0% -500Record at Home18-3, 86.0% 1500Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder0-0 No GamesVS Miami Heat0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-15, 32.0% -950vs Team .500 or Better9-5, 64.0% 350Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog6-9, 40.0% -390Record As Home Favorite18-3, 86.0% 1470Oklahoma City Thunder
Playing Back-to-Back Days12-7, 63.0% +430Playing Back-to-Back Days4-9, 31.0% -590Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home36-10, 78.0% 2600Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder0-2, 0.0% -220VS Miami Heat2-0, 100.0% 200Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite32-7, 82.0% 2430Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off60-29, 67.0% +2810Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDOklahoma City ThunderRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-10, 44.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-10, 52.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR24-22, 52.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home14-17, 45.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road17-16, 52.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 12-6, 67.0% +540 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 10-11, 48.0% -210 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-3, 57.0% +70 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 5-4, 56.0% +60

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 7-10, 41.0% -363 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 7-13, 35.0% -663 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-5, 17.0% -409 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 2-7, 22.0% -518

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 8-11, 42.0% -18 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 4-17, 19.0% +-114 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-5, 29.0% -202 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 3-6, 33.0% +946

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