The Miami Marlins are 32-39 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 29-42 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Janson Junk is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Cade Cavalli. Janson Junk has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Cavalli has a 39% chance of a QS. If Janson Junk has a quality start the Marlins has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 56% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 67%. In Cade Cavalli quality starts the Nationals win 61%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jakob Marsee who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 29-42, 41% -103 | Record at Home | 32-39, 45% -276 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 4-5, 44% -160 | VS Washington Nationals | 5-4, 56% 133 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 22-28, 44% -260 | vs Team Under .500 | 28-31, 47% 51 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 27-39, 41% 43 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-9, 36% -511 | Washington Nationals |
| When Cade Cavalli Starts | 2-1, 67% 144 | When Janson Junk Starts | 7-4, 64% 573 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% 24 | Record at Home | 4-8, 33% -412 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Miami Marlins | 3-0, 100% 260 | VS Washington Nationals | 0-3, 0% -300 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 427 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-11, 27% -589 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-9, 40% 24 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-2, 33% -121 | Washington Nationals |
| When Cade Cavalli Starts | 2-1, 67% 144 | When Janson Junk Starts | 1-2, 33% 2 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-31, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-37, 47% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cade Cavalli STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS | 6-5, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 39-32, 55% +136 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-32, 55% +531 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-6, 60% +70 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-6, 50% -105
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 42-29, 59% -451 Miami Marlins Home Games: 38-33, 54% -495 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-6, 60% -176 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-5, 58% -58
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 26-39, 40% -1690 Miami Marlins Home Games: 32-30, 52% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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