The Chicago Cubs are 41-24 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 27-41 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Javier Assad is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Jake Irvin. Javier Assad has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jake Irvin has a 30% chance of a QS. If Javier Assad has a quality start the Cubs has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 77%. In Jake Irvin quality starts the Nationals win 54%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 36% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-41, 40% -352 | Record at Home | 41-24, 63% 75 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -80 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-1, 67% 35 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-50, 35% -1290 | vs Team Under .500 | 41-23, 64% 295 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-38, 40% -206 | Record As Home Favorite | 35-19, 65% 6 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 14-14, 50% 487 | When Javier Assad Starts | 1-0, 100% 50 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -225 | Record at Home | 6-2, 75% 220 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -292 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 56 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -225 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% 30 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 1-3, 25% -149 | When Javier Assad Starts | 1-0, 100% 50 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 36-30, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-36, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-6, 14% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS | 16-10, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Javier Assad STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 38-30, 56% +293 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 37-28, 57% -384 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-4, 67% +227 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-3, 62% +48
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 41-27, 60% -294 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 42-23, 65% +240 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -19 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-3, 62% +48
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-38, 39% -1780 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 21-34, 38% -1640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80
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