The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-24 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 34-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Freddy Peralta has a 49% chance of a QS and Ranger Suarez a 49% chance. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 53%. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-35, 49% -1015 | Record at Home | 45-24, 65% 1083 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-0, 100% 406 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 32-28, 53% -449 | vs Team .500 or Better | 39-23, 63% 1636 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-10, 41% -183 | Record As Home Favorite | 33-15, 69% 732 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 13-8, 62% 83 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 17-10, 63% 316 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -243 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 188 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-0, 100% 317 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -116 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 116 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-4, 69% 188 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 3-2, 60% -23 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-1, 75% 155 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-41, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-35, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS | 7-13, 35% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 15-12, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 33-36, 48% -754 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 32-37, 46% -739 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-9, 31% -387 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-7, 46% -186
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 37-32, 54% -606 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 37-32, 54% -635 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-6, 54% -21 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-6, 54% -174
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 29-27, 52% -70 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 28-34, 45% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
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