The Atlanta Braves are 37-39 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 33-46 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Bryce Elder is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Andrew Alvarez. Bryce Elder has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andrew Alvarez has a 38% chance of a QS. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 61%. In Andrew Alvarez quality starts the Nationals win 72%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-46, 42% 156 | Record at Home | 37-39, 49% -1314 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 3-8, 27% -374 | VS Washington Nationals | 8-3, 73% 126 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 29-39, 43% -581 | vs Team Under .500 | 34-29, 54% -644 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -146 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-11, 42% -250 | Washington Nationals |
| When Andrew Alvarez Starts | 1-2, 33% -111 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 13-15, 46% -333 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% 208 | Record at Home | 4-6, 40% -272 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-5, 0% -500 | VS Washington Nationals | 5-0, 100% 280 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-13, 28% -827 | vs Team Under .500 | 11-6, 65% 333 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -78 | Washington Nationals |
| When Andrew Alvarez Starts | 1-2, 33% -111 | When Bryce Elder Starts | 3-2, 60% 133 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 34-41, 45% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-5, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Alvarez STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 9-17, 35% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 43-36, 54% +141 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 38-38, 50% -842 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% +48 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-4, 60% +120
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 46-33, 58% -624 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-39, 49% -1414 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% -199 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-6, 40% -299
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 29-44, 40% -1940 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 29-37, 44% -1170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
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