The St. Louis Cardinals are 36-32 at home this season and the Athletics are 34-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics starter Luis Severino is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Luis Severino has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 43% chance of a QS. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Athletics has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 53%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 68%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Nick Kurtz who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Athletics | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-35, 49% 388 | Record at Home | 36-32, 53% -25 | Athletics |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 28-28, 50% -145 | vs Team Under .500 | 31-27, 53% -57 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-33, 43% -80 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-18, 53% -410 | Athletics |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 9-15, 38% -566 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 12-15, 44% -370 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Athletics
| Athletics | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 443 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -368 | Athletics |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 10-6, 62% 355 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -93 | Athletics |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-3, 67% 382 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -195 | Athletics |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 1-0, 100% 112 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 2-3, 40% -171 | Athletics |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Athletics | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-30, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 34-31, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 15-6, 71% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 13-13, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 41-28, 59% +703 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 33-35, 49% -525 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 7-5, 58% -127 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -211
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 40-29, 58% -292 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 39-29, 57% +164 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 6-6, 50% -132 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% -99
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 26-35, 43% -1250 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 32-28, 53% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170
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