The Detroit Tigers are 46-30 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 33-44 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Charlie Morton has a 39% chance of a QS and Bryce Elder a 40% chance. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Tigers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 49%. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-44, 43% -1469 | Record at Home | 46-30, 61% 267 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 32-52, 38% -2256 | vs Team Under .500 | 43-31, 58% -195 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-24, 35% -879 | Record As Home Favorite | 38-25, 60% -134 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 12-15, 44% -434 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 11-15, 42% -482 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% -1 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -193 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 212 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-8, 47% -267 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -244 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -202 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Bryce Elder Starts | 3-2, 60% 149 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 1-4, 20% -295 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 37-35, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 38-34, 53% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS | 8-17, 32% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 13-12, 52% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 31-46, 40% -2382 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 39-37, 51% -41 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 9-4, 69% +78 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-5, 55% +33
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 40-37, 52% -855 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 43-33, 57% -344 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 10-3, 77% +355 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -193
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 25-39, 39% -1790 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 31-32, 49% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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