September 19, 2023 3:31 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees 9/19/2023

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 42-33 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 39-36 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt. Yusei Kikuchi has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clarke Schmidt has a 34% chance of a QS. If Yusei Kikuchi has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 61%. In Clarke Schmidt quality starts the Yankees win 70%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Davis Schneider who averaged 3.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road42-33, 56% 215Record at Home39-36, 52% -777Toronto Blue Jays
VS New York Yankees3-4, 43% -113VS Toronto Blue Jays4-3, 57% 158New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better38-43, 47% -1082vs Team .500 or Better42-42, 50% -246New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog16-12, 57% 516Record As Home Favorite32-27, 54% -680Toronto Blue Jays
When Yusei Kikuchi Starts18-10, 64% 498When Clarke Schmidt Starts14-17, 45% -662Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% -25Record at Home4-6, 40% -354Toronto Blue Jays
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -158vs Team .500 or Better12-7, 63% 379New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 98Record As Home Favorite4-6, 40% -354Toronto Blue Jays
When Yusei Kikuchi Starts2-2, 50% -63When Clarke Schmidt Starts2-3, 40% -154Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD34-38, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-40, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-41, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Yusei Kikuchi STARTS12-14, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS12-18, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 38-37, 51% -277 New York Yankees Home Games: 39-36, 52% +277 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-3, 70% +195 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-4, 60% +386

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 39-36, 52% -339 New York Yankees Home Games: 43-32, 57% -29 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-4, 60% -6 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -92

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 33-27, 55% + 330 New York Yankees Home Games: 34-30, 53% + 100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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