The Chicago Cubs are 41-34 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 32-40 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Javier Assad is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Andre Jackson. Javier Assad has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andre Jackson has a 38% chance of a QS. If Javier Assad has a quality start the Cubs has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 65%. In Andre Jackson quality starts the Pirates win 63%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Cody Bellinger who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-40, 44% 281 | Record at Home | 41-34, 55% 109 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-9, 10% -802 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 9-1, 90% 548 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 31-59, 34% -1722 | vs Team Under .500 | 40-28, 59% 417 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 287 | Record as Home Underdog | 14-13, 52% 347 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Andre Jackson Starts | 1-4, 20% -315 | When Javier Assad Starts | 6-3, 67% 253 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 345 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 99 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-3, 25% -202 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1, 75% 106 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -164 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-11, 48% -326 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-0, 100% 174 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 0 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Andre Jackson Starts | 1-2, 33% -115 | When Javier Assad Starts | 3-3, 50% -73 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-34, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 39-35, 53% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-10, 9% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-41, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-42, 44% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Andre Jackson STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Javier Assad STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 33-39, 46% -378 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 42-33, 56% +410 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-3, 70% +405 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-3, 73% +309
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 34-38, 47% -1660 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 40-35, 53% -361 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -175 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-4, 64% +99
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-27, 53% + 130 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 34-34, 50% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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