The Atlanta Braves are 47-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 38-37 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Strider is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez. Spencer Strider has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cristopher Sanchez has a 32% chance of a QS. If Spencer Strider has a quality start the Braves has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 61%. In Cristopher Sanchez quality starts the Phillies win 66%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-37, 51% -399 | Record at Home | 47-25, 65% -83 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 3-7, 30% -346 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 7-3, 70% 184 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 42-44, 49% -644 | vs Team .500 or Better | 52-29, 64% 410 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 11-17, 39% -371 | Record As Home Favorite | 47-25, 65% -83 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 7-9, 44% -413 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 21-6, 78% 467 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -81 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -293 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-3, 25% -192 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-1, 75% 96 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -380 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% -71 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -293 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 1-3, 25% -226 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 3-1, 75% 100 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 36-38, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 41-26, 61% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-42, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS | 6-10, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Strider STARTS | 15-12, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 35-40, 47% -1191 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-35, 51% -740 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% +202 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-3, 70% +347
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 39-36, 52% -568 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 47-25, 65% -25 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -36 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -293
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 32-35, 48% -650 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 31-30, 51% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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