September 19, 2023 3:31 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/19/2023

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 39-35 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 33-41 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Trevor Megill is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Drew Rom. Trevor Megill has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Drew Rom has a 20% chance of a QS. If Trevor Megill has a quality start the Brewers has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 66%. In Drew Rom quality starts the Cardinals win 71%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-35, 53% 712Record at Home33-41, 45% -1443Milwaukee Brewers
VS St. Louis Cardinals3-3, 50% -22VS Milwaukee Brewers3-3, 50% -43Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team Under .50039-27, 59% 519vs Team .500 or Better39-53, 42% -1043Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite12-13, 48% -474Record as Home Underdog12-14, 46% -63St. Louis Cardinals
When Trevor Megill Starts0-1, 0% -100When Drew Rom Starts2-0, 100% 254St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 64Record at Home5-5, 50% -29Milwaukee Brewers
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-1, 75% 148vs Team .500 or Better11-13, 46% 97Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite1-3, 25% -242Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -62St. Louis Cardinals
When Trevor Megill Starts0-1, 0% -100When Drew Rom Starts2-0, 100% 254St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-43, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME39-33, 54% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-36, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Megill STARTS0-1, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Drew Rom STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-37, 50% +213 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 39-35, 53% +309 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-3, 70% +536 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-2, 80% +557

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 34-40, 46% -1544 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 40-34, 54% -235 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-4, 60% +141 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-3, 70% +273

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 38-31, 55% + 390 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 28-34, 45% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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