The Milwaukee Brewers are 39-35 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 33-41 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Trevor Megill is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Drew Rom. Trevor Megill has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Drew Rom has a 20% chance of a QS. If Trevor Megill has a quality start the Brewers has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 66%. In Drew Rom quality starts the Cardinals win 71%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 39-35, 53% 712 | Record at Home | 33-41, 45% -1443 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -22 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 3-3, 50% -43 | Milwaukee Brewers |
vs Team Under .500 | 39-27, 59% 519 | vs Team .500 or Better | 39-53, 42% -1043 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record as Road Favorite | 12-13, 48% -474 | Record as Home Underdog | 12-14, 46% -63 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Trevor Megill Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Drew Rom Starts | 2-0, 100% 254 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% 64 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -29 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 3-1, 75% 148 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-13, 46% 97 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -242 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -62 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Trevor Megill Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Drew Rom Starts | 2-0, 100% 254 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 29-43, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 39-33, 54% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-36, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-38, 52% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Megill STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rom STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-37, 50% +213 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 39-35, 53% +309 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-3, 70% +536 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-2, 80% +557
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 34-40, 46% -1544 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 40-34, 54% -235 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-4, 60% +141 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-3, 70% +273
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 38-31, 55% + 390 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 28-34, 45% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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