September 19, 2023 3:31 AM CDT

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9/19/2023

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 47-26 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 38-36 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Reese Olson. Ryan Pepiot has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Reese Olson has a 28% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Dodgers has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 72%. In Reese Olson quality starts the Tigers win 53%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Parker Meadows who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 42% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-36, 51% 1343Record at Home47-26, 64% -21Detroit Tigers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better32-50, 39% -295vs Team Under .50046-21, 69% 679Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite9-3, 75% 397Record as Home Underdog1-4, 20% -304Detroit Tigers
When Reese Olson Starts8-6, 57% 306When Ryan Pepiot Starts1-1, 50% -19Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-2, 80% 531Record at Home5-5, 50% -165Detroit Tigers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -422vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 67Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite4-0, 100% 309Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -104Detroit Tigers
When Reese Olson Starts3-2, 60% 88When Ryan Pepiot Starts1-1, 50% -19Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-40, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-33, 54% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON34-42, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-40, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Reese Olson STARTS7-6, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 44-30, 59% +1385 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 39-34, 53% -48 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -186 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-4, 60% +92

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 40-34, 54% -897 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 48-25, 66% +200 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -359 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-3, 70% +191

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 38-28, 58% + 720 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 31-29, 52% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 480 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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