The Texas Rangers are 45-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 36-38 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Tanner Houck. Nathan Eovaldi has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Houck has a 33% chance of a QS. If Nathan Eovaldi has a quality start the Rangers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 66%. In Tanner Houck quality starts the Red Sox win 63%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Justin Turner who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-38, 49% 53 | Record at Home | 45-30, 60% 44 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Texas Rangers | 2-1, 67% 107 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-2, 33% -105 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 47-50, 48% 173 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-40, 50% -79 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-26, 48% 406 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-24, 61% -186 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 8-10, 44% -346 | When Nathan Eovaldi Starts | 15-8, 65% 351 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -254 | Record at Home | 3-7, 30% -552 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-1, 67% -7 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 20 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -247 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-6, 33% -452 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Tanner Houck Starts | 2-3, 40% -178 | When Nathan Eovaldi Starts | 2-1, 67% 77 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-33, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 43-28, 61% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Houck STARTS | 10-8, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nathan Eovaldi STARTS | 11-12, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 40-34, 54% +884 Texas Rangers Home Games: 38-37, 51% -947 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 9-5, 64% +213 Texas Rangers Home Games: 3-7, 30% -552
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 36-38, 49% -1034 Texas Rangers Home Games: 43-32, 57% -393 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 9-5, 64% +68 Texas Rangers Home Games: 3-7, 30% -552
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 24-35, 41% -1450 Texas Rangers Home Games: 35-29, 55% + 310 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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