September 17, 2025 2:44 PM EST

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 9/17/2025

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The Chicago White Sox are 31-45 at home this season and the Baltimore Orioles are 34-42 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Martin Perez has a 52% chance of a QS and Tyler Wells a 48% chance. If Martin Perez has a quality start the White Sox has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the White Sox win 58%. If Tyler Wells has a quality start the Orioles has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Kyle Teel who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road34-42, 45% -327Record at Home31-45, 41% -292Chicago White Sox
VS Chicago White Sox4-0, 100% 223VS Baltimore Orioles0-4, 0% -400Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .50028-28, 50% -438vs Team Under .50025-28, 47% 575Chicago White Sox
Record as Road Favorite6-6, 50% -142Record as Home Underdog31-44, 41% -192Baltimore Orioles
When Tyler Wells Starts2-0, 100% 271When Martin Perez Starts2-8, 20% -502Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore OriolesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-5, 58% 282Record at Home6-8, 43% -118Baltimore Orioles
VS Chicago White Sox1-0, 100% 69VS Baltimore Orioles0-1, 0% -100Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .5002-3, 40% -158vs Team Under .50010-6, 62% 628Chicago White Sox
Record as Road Favorite2-0, 100% 147Record as Home Underdog6-8, 43% -118Baltimore Orioles
When Tyler Wells Starts2-0, 100% 271When Martin Perez Starts1-4, 20% -238Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-45, 39% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME41-33, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-48, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Wells STARTS0-1, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS3-7, 30% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 36-40, 47% -542 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 31-45, 41% -832 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-8, 33% -302 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 5-9, 36% -313

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 40-36, 53% -678 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 37-39, 49% -1447 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-7, 42% -379 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 6-8, 43% -381

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 45-22, 67% + 2080 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 30-27, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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