The Atlanta Braves are 35-38 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 37-36 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Joey Wentz. Framber Valdez has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joey Wentz has a 34% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 53%. In Joey Wentz quality starts the Braves win 74%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 37-36, 51% -84 | Record at Home | 35-38, 48% -1369 | Houston Astros |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-0, 100% 80 | VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-28, 59% 220 | vs Team .500 or Better | 35-54, 39% -2293 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-18, 50% -551 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-10, 41% -268 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 15-11, 58% 23 | When Joey Wentz Starts | 3-6, 33% -353 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -253 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -397 | Houston Astros |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-0, 100% 80 | VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-3, 62% -26 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 190 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -153 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -79 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 1-3, 25% -268 | When Joey Wentz Starts | 2-2, 50% -27 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 33-34, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 32-40, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 10-15, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Joey Wentz STARTS | 6-3, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 36-37, 49% -398 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 36-37, 49% -897 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 11-3, 79% +569 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-6, 54% -5
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 38-35, 52% -452 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 36-37, 49% -1251 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-5, 64% +200 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-7, 46% -206
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 27-26, 51% -160 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 27-36, 43% -1260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
