The Chicago Cubs are 44-27 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 33-36 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Shane Baz. Matthew Boyd has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Shane Baz has a 41% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 67%. In Shane Baz quality starts the Rays win 59%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-36, 48% -144 | Record at Home | 44-27, 62% -45 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 42-49, 46% -682 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-42, 49% -631 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-26, 49% 272 | Record As Home Favorite | 38-22, 63% -114 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 15-13, 54% 74 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 14-15, 48% -611 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-3, 70% 281 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 28 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -20 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% -107 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 107 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -162 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 1-3, 25% -202 | When Matthew Boyd Starts | 1-4, 20% -337 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 29-36, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-39, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS | 12-15, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 9-18, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 42-27, 61% +900 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 40-31, 56% -504 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -193 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-5, 62% +28
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 38-31, 55% -37 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 45-26, 63% +120 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-4, 60% +110 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-5, 62% +28
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 26-28, 48% -480 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 23-37, 38% -1770 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 2-5, 29% -350 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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