The Baltimore Orioles are 33-38 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 22-47 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Paul Skenes is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Tyler Wells. Paul Skenes has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Wells has a 55% chance of a QS. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 53%. In Tyler Wells quality starts the Orioles win 66%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Tommy Pham who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-47, 32% -1561 | Record at Home | 33-38, 46% -948 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-22, 51% -67 | vs Team .500 or Better | 43-51, 46% -359 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-8, 27% -591 | Record as Home Underdog | 15-12, 56% 454 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Paul Skenes Starts | 15-14, 52% -144 | When Tyler Wells Starts | 1-0, 100% 143 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -138 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -321 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -360 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -302 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 4-6, 40% -94 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Paul Skenes Starts | 4-1, 80% 214 | When Tyler Wells Starts | 1-0, 100% 143 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-41, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-36, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-11, 21% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS | 10-16, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Wells STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 40-29, 58% +883 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 48-23, 68% +2378 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% -169 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-4, 71% +589
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 44-25, 64% +259 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 40-31, 56% +176 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-5, 62% -23 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-8, 43% -372
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-29, 52% -90 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 33-30, 52% 0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670
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