September 10, 2025 4:57 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers 9/10/2025

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The Texas Rangers are 44-28 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 42-29 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Merrill Kelly has a 55% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 57% chance. If Merrill Kelly has a quality start the Rangers has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 54%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Wyatt Langford who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road42-29, 59% 1138Record at Home44-28, 61% 442Milwaukee Brewers
VS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better46-35, 57% 1061vs Team .500 or Better33-49, 40% -1872Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite17-8, 68% 325Record as Home Underdog7-16, 30% -817Milwaukee Brewers
When Freddy Peralta Starts18-11, 62% 339When Merrill Kelly Starts15-15, 50% -248Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 195Record at Home8-4, 67% 268Texas Rangers
VS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better13-10, 57% -25vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -278Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite5-2, 71% 146Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 133Milwaukee Brewers
When Freddy Peralta Starts3-2, 60% 111When Merrill Kelly Starts3-2, 60% 81Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD34-34, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-44, 37% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-48, 41% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS15-14, 52% OverOVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS14-16, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 30-41, 42% -1732 Texas Rangers Home Games: 38-34, 53% -287 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -377 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-3, 75% +554

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-34, 52% -648 Texas Rangers Home Games: 47-25, 65% +809 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +115 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-3, 75% +448

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 29-25, 54% + 150 Texas Rangers Home Games: 33-29, 53% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-1, 88% + 590 Texas Rangers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370

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