September 10, 2025 4:57 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians 9/10/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 35-33 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 33-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Logan Allen has a 47% chance of a QS and Jonathan Bowlan a 51% chance. If Logan Allen has a quality start the Guardians has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 52%. If Jonathan Bowlan has a quality start the Royals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-34, 49% 269Record at Home35-33, 51% -494Kansas City Royals
VS Cleveland Guardians4-5, 44% -178VS Kansas City Royals5-4, 56% 63Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better34-44, 44% -651vs Team .500 or Better33-46, 42% -844Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog26-24, 52% 731Record As Home Favorite25-17, 60% -18Kansas City Royals
When Jonathan Bowlan Starts1-0, 100% 170When Logan Allen Starts12-15, 44% -348Kansas City Royals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -19Record at Home6-6, 50% 5Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-5, 67% 161vs Team .500 or Better7-12, 37% -415Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -74Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -173Kansas City Royals
When Jonathan Bowlan Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Logan Allen Starts2-3, 40% -93Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-34, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-32, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jonathan Bowlan STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS10-15, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 34-33, 51% +591 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 34-34, 50% -253 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-2, 67% +182 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-7, 42% -180

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 32-35, 48% -1042 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 40-28, 59% +223 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 2-4, 33% -254 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 3-9, 25% -654

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 34-26, 57% + 540 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 28-27, 51% -170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360

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