The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 35-34 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Jason Alexander. Jose Berrios has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jason Alexander has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 66%. In Jason Alexander quality starts the Astros win 65%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 35-34, 51% -76 | Record at Home | 45-24, 65% 1323 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 3-0, 100% 257 | VS Houston Astros | 0-3, 0% -300 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 42-38, 52% 161 | vs Team .500 or Better | 47-37, 56% 1049 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-16, 53% 555 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-17, 60% 25 | Houston Astros |
| When Jason Alexander Starts | 8-1, 89% 642 | When Jose Berrios Starts | 19-8, 70% 813 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -245 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 27 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-11, 42% -368 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -218 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-3, 50% -12 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -58 | Houston Astros |
| When Jason Alexander Starts | 4-0, 100% 308 | When Jose Berrios Starts | 3-1, 75% 142 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-31, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 39-26, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jason Alexander STARTS | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS | 17-10, 63% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 34-35, 49% -323 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 35-34, 51% -169 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-1, 90% +737 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-8, 33% -486
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 36-33, 52% -377 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 37-32, 54% -422 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-3, 70% +275 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-6, 50% -165
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-26, 48% -460 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 30-29, 51% -190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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