September 10, 2025 4:57 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees 9/10/2025

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The New York Yankees are 43-29 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 35-33 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Jack Flaherty. Carlos Rodon has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Flaherty has a 29% chance of a QS. If Carlos Rodon has a quality start the Yankees has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 66%. In Jack Flaherty quality starts the Tigers win 61%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-33, 51% -575Record at Home43-29, 60% -275New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees2-1, 67% 110VS Detroit Tigers1-2, 33% -135Detroit Tigers
vs Team .500 or Better43-35, 55% 6vs Team .500 or Better43-43, 50% -1316Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog12-15, 44% -210Record As Home Favorite40-26, 61% -273Detroit Tigers
When Jack Flaherty Starts13-20, 39% -1063When Carlos Rodon Starts17-11, 61% -25New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Detroit TigersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% -114Record at Home8-5, 62% -86New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-7, 42% -294vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -34New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 101Record As Home Favorite8-4, 67% 14Detroit Tigers
When Jack Flaherty Starts2-4, 33% -260When Carlos Rodon Starts5-0, 100% 292New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-31, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-38, 46% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS19-13, 59% OverOVER-UNDER IN Carlos Rodon STARTS15-13, 54% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 40-28, 59% +561 New York Yankees Home Games: 39-33, 54% -131 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-7, 46% +47 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-5, 62% +2

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 43-25, 63% +717 New York Yankees Home Games: 44-28, 61% +13 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +157 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-4, 69% +143

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 37-23, 62% + 1170 New York Yankees Home Games: 25-28, 47% -580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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