The San Diego Padres are 43-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 32-37 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Nick Pivetta has a 53% chance of a QS and Hunter Greene a 50% chance. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Padres has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 60%. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is TJ Friedl who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-37, 46% -215 | Record at Home | 43-25, 63% 747 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 88 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-2, 33% -72 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-42, 48% 137 | vs Team .500 or Better | 44-43, 51% -122 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-27, 46% 103 | Record As Home Favorite | 32-20, 62% 41 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 10-6, 62% 214 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 16-11, 59% 141 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -329 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -112 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-6, 33% -367 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-9, 40% -433 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-5, 17% -392 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -333 | San Diego Padres |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 4-1, 80% 252 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 3-2, 60% -37 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 28-38, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 30-37, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 5-11, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 13-14, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 33-36, 48% -1075 San Diego Padres Home Games: 32-36, 47% -242 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-6, 33% -492 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% +84
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 41-28, 59% +378 San Diego Padres Home Games: 36-32, 53% -630 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 8-1, 89% +491 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% +84
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-36, 39% -1660 San Diego Padres Home Games: 33-22, 60% + 880 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30
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