September 10, 2025 4:57 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves 9/10/2025

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The Atlanta Braves are 34-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 37-34 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Jameson Taillon. Spencer Schwellenbach has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jameson Taillon has a 43% chance of a QS. If Spencer Schwellenbach has a quality start the Braves has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 63%. In Jameson Taillon quality starts the Cubs win 62%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-34, 52% -115Record at Home34-35, 49% -1173Chicago Cubs
VS Atlanta Braves2-1, 67% 37VS Chicago Cubs1-2, 33% -72Chicago Cubs
vs Team Under .50040-19, 68% 471vs Team .500 or Better36-55, 40% -2320Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog13-17, 43% -125Record As Home Favorite28-27, 51% -1001Chicago Cubs
When Jameson Taillon Starts10-10, 50% -293When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts11-5, 69% 183Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-6, 50% -198Record at Home4-5, 44% -201Chicago Cubs
VS Atlanta Braves2-1, 67% 37VS Chicago Cubs1-2, 33% -72Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better8-8, 50% -207vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -105Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% 8Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -218Chicago Cubs
When Jameson Taillon Starts2-1, 67% 64When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts0-0 No GamesChicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-33, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-37, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON26-55, 32% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS9-11, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Spencer Schwellenbach STARTS9-6, 60% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 35-36, 49% -1021 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 34-35, 49% -892 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-7, 42% -302 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-4, 56% 0

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 40-31, 56% -60 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 34-35, 49% -1246 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-4, 67% +174 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-5, 44% -201

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 36-22, 62% + 1180 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 23-36, 39% -1660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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