The Athletics are 29-40 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 35-37 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Mason Barnett has a 33% chance of a QS and Payton Tolle a 28% chance. If Mason Barnett has a quality start the Athletics has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 54%. If Payton Tolle has a quality start the Red Sox has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Nick Kurtz who averaged 2.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 35-37, 49% -251 | Record at Home | 29-40, 42% -815 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 39-24, 62% 491 | vs Team .500 or Better | 37-54, 41% -812 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-14, 52% -301 | Record as Home Underdog | 24-27, 47% 149 | Athletics |
| When Payton Tolle Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Mason Barnett Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 338 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% 57 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-7, 56% 98 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 391 | Athletics |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-3, 62% 71 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-4, 50% 85 | Athletics |
| When Payton Tolle Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Mason Barnett Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 37-33, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 36-31, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Payton Tolle STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Mason Barnett STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 33-39, 46% -824 Athletics Home Games: 31-38, 45% -712 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-9, 36% -500 Athletics Home Games: 7-5, 58% +230
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 35-37, 49% -1063 Athletics Home Games: 37-32, 54% -154 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-8, 43% -344 Athletics Home Games: 6-6, 50% -35
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 35-29, 55% + 310 Athletics Home Games: 33-30, 52% 0 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Athletics Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370
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