The Detroit Tigers are 44-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 28-37 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Charlie Morton has a 46% chance of a QS and Sean Manaea a 42% chance. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 61%. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Mets has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 44%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| New York Mets | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 28-37, 43% -1425 | Record at Home | 44-25, 64% 611 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 28-27, 51% -104 | vs Team .500 or Better | 35-32, 52% -342 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 17-19, 47% -830 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-3, 70% 497 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 2-6, 25% -454 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 11-12, 48% -182 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| New York Mets | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -376 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 133 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-10, 44% -294 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-5, 58% 96 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -175 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 105 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Sean Manaea Starts | 1-4, 20% -307 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 2-3, 40% -121 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 29-31, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-32, 51% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-2, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS | 7-1, 88% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 10-12, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 39-26, 60% +486 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 37-32, 54% +303 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-5, 44% -37 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +231
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-29, 55% -171 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 41-28, 59% 0 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-6, 33% -355 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-4, 67% +133
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 27-24, 53% + 60 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-27, 52% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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