August 09, 2025 12:47 PM EST

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees 8/9/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The New York Yankees are 34-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 27-25 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Gil has a 50% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 48% chance. If Luis Gil has a quality start the Yankees has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 58%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 45%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-25, 52% 1Record at Home34-22, 61% -84Houston Astros
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better33-25, 57% 504vs Team .500 or Better34-30, 53% -682Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite15-12, 56% -185Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 102New York Yankees
When Framber Valdez Starts14-6, 70% 491When Luis Gil Starts0-0 No GamesHouston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% 17Record at Home6-5, 55% -35Houston Astros
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 368vs Team Under .5006-4, 60% 111Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -17Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% 9New York Yankees
When Framber Valdez Starts2-1, 67% 62When Luis Gil Starts0-0 No GamesHouston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-25, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-30, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS8-12, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Luis Gil STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-30, 42% -942 New York Yankees Home Games: 30-26, 54% -28 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-5, 38% -296 New York Yankees Home Games: 7-4, 64% +359

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 26-26, 50% -534 New York Yankees Home Games: 34-22, 61% -25 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-5, 38% -296 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-5, 55% -35

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 20-18, 53% + 20 New York Yankees Home Games: 20-22, 48% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 New York Yankees Home Games: 1-5, 17% -450

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW