The Seattle Mariners are 30-25 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 23-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Drew Rasmussen. Luis Castillo has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Drew Rasmussen has a 46% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 61%. In Drew Rasmussen quality starts the Rays win 66%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-28, 45% -206 | Record at Home | 30-25, 55% -364 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 33-36, 48% -296 | vs Team .500 or Better | 37-28, 57% 606 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-19, 51% 468 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-22, 54% -498 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 13-9, 59% 102 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 13-11, 54% -23 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-10, 17% -779 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% -80 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-13, 24% -1000 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -432 | Seattle Mariners |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-8, 20% -579 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -80 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 3-1, 75% 103 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 3-2, 60% 114 | Seattle Mariners |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-29, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-26, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 6-15, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS | 12-10, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 33-18, 65% +1225 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 25-30, 45% -895 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% +67 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-5, 44% -232
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 28-23, 55% -45 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 29-26, 53% -528 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% +28 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-4, 56% -80
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 21-20, 51% -100 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 29-19, 60% + 810 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350
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