The Cincinnati Reds are 25-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 31-25 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Chase Burns is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mitch Keller. Chase Burns has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 33% chance of a QS. If Chase Burns has a quality start the Reds has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 58%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 65%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Nick Gonzales who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 84% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 25-28, 47% -46 | Record at Home | 31-25, 55% 689 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-2, 67% 71 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 2-4, 33% -181 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-26, 55% 8 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-42, 35% -1202 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-8, 47% -281 | Record as Home Underdog | 20-12, 62% 1182 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 8-14, 36% -587 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% 45 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 81 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-2, 75% 273 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-6, 0% -600 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -130 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-0, 100% 344 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Chase Burns Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-0, 100% 333 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-29, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-29, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chase Burns STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 8-13, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 26-27, 49% -557 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 29-27, 52% +364 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-3, 50% -25 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-3, 67% +388
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 29-24, 55% -174 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 26-30, 46% -771 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 2-4, 33% -202 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-5, 44% -65
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 18-28, 39% -1280 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 23-24, 49% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 1-3, 25% -230 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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