The Toronto Blue Jays are 27-29 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 16-37 at home. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Kyle Freeland. Kevin Gausman has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 29% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 63%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 65%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Mickey Moniak who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 74% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-29, 48% -115 | Record at Home | 16-37, 30% -1211 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-21, 60% 368 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-53, 12% -3955 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-12, 40% -612 | Record as Home Underdog | 15-35, 30% -1100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 12-11, 52% 48 | When Kyle Freeland Starts | 5-13, 28% -570 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -73 | Record at Home | 6-2, 75% 694 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-1, 86% 505 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -341 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-5, 38% -333 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-2, 75% 694 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 2-3, 40% -49 | When Kyle Freeland Starts | 2-2, 50% 107 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 27-27, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-27, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 30-26, 54% +20 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 30-23, 57% +152 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-6, 57% +312 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-4, 50% +247
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 28-28, 50% -407 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 36-17, 68% +238 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-8, 43% -283 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 2-6, 25% -494
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 22-28, 44% -880 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 27-25, 52% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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