August 06, 2025 7:52 AM EST

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels 8/6/2025

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-28 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 28-28 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Shane Baz is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Ian Anderson. Shane Baz has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ian Anderson has a 33% chance of a QS. If Shane Baz has a quality start the Rays has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 56%. In Ian Anderson quality starts the Angels win 69%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-28, 45% -206Record at Home28-28, 50% 129Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels1-2, 33% -130VS Tampa Bay Rays2-1, 67% 165Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .50022-21, 51% -434vs Team .500 or Better30-36, 45% 587Los Angeles Angels
Record as Road Favorite3-9, 25% -674Record as Home Underdog19-18, 51% 472Los Angeles Angels
When Shane Baz Starts13-9, 59% 292When Ian Anderson Starts0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-12, 14% -979Record at Home8-8, 50% 112Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-3, 40% -117vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -290Tampa Bay Rays
Record as Road Favorite0-3, 0% -300Record as Home Underdog7-4, 64% 436Los Angeles Angels
When Shane Baz Starts0-5, 0% -500When Ian Anderson Starts0-1, 0% -100Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-29, 41% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-23, 58% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-9, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-5, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS10-12, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ian Anderson STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 33-18, 65% +1225 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 31-25, 55% +863 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-6, 57% +76 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 9-7, 56% +277

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 28-23, 55% -45 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-27, 52% -300 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 9-5, 64% +214 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-11, 31% -662

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 21-20, 51% -100 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 19-29, 40% -1290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590

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