August 06, 2025 7:52 AM EST

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers 8/6/2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 35-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 24-32 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore. Roki Sasaki has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 35% chance of a QS. If Roki Sasaki has a quality start the Dodgers has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 71%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 61%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Will D. Smith who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-32, 43% -795Record at Home35-21, 62% -400Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers2-1, 67% 136VS St. Louis Cardinals1-2, 33% -131St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better30-36, 45% -565vs Team .500 or Better26-28, 48% -1034St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog14-22, 39% -550Record As Home Favorite34-21, 62% -502Los Angeles Dodgers
When Matthew Liberatore Starts8-11, 42% -299When Roki Sasaki Starts3-4, 43% -168Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -410Record at Home2-4, 33% -311Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-8, 33% -559vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% -1Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -177Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -311St. Louis Cardinals
When Matthew Liberatore Starts0-3, 0% -300When Roki Sasaki Starts0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-26, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME33-20, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-33, 61% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS10-9, 53% OverOVER-UNDER IN Roki Sasaki STARTS5-2, 71% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 30-26, 54% +199 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 26-30, 46% -1035 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-3, 62% +220 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -167

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 34-22, 61% +421 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 34-22, 61% -565 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-3, 62% +61 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -311

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 20-26, 43% -860 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 23-20, 53% + 100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 1-4, 20% -340

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