The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-25 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 27-30 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Robbie Ray is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Andrew Heaney. Robbie Ray has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andrew Heaney has a 50% chance of a QS. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Giants has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 56%. In Andrew Heaney quality starts the Pirates win 65%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Tommy Pham who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-30, 47% -414 | Record at Home | 31-25, 55% 689 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS San Francisco Giants | 3-0, 100% 425 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 24-23, 51% -536 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-42, 35% -1202 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record as Road Favorite | 12-13, 48% -487 | Record as Home Underdog | 20-12, 62% 1182 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Robbie Ray Starts | 16-7, 70% 630 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 8-13, 38% -232 | San Francisco Giants |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-5, 38% -132 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 81 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS San Francisco Giants | 3-0, 100% 425 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-7, 42% -195 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-5, 64% 522 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-0, 100% 344 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Robbie Ray Starts | 2-3, 40% -113 | When Andrew Heaney Starts | 1-3, 25% -187 | San Francisco Giants |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 31-24, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-29, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-31, 59% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS | 8-15, 35% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Heaney STARTS | 7-12, 37% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 23-34, 40% -1151 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 29-27, 52% +364 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 4-4, 50% +145 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-3, 67% +388
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 28-29, 49% -779 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 26-30, 46% -771 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-3, 62% +74 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-5, 44% -65
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 24-22, 52% -20 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 23-24, 49% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
