The Arizona Diamondbacks are 26-28 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 26-31 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Anthony DeSclafani has a 41% chance of a QS and Nestor Cortes a 36% chance. If Anthony DeSclafani has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 60%. If Nestor Cortes has a quality start the Padres has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-31, 46% -316 | Record at Home | 26-28, 48% -828 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 3-4, 43% -116 | VS San Diego Padres | 4-3, 57% 67 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 37-22, 63% 851 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-30, 43% -801 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-12, 40% -652 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-4, 64% 346 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Nestor Cortes Starts | 1-1, 50% -15 | When Anthony DeSclafani Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -5 | Record at Home | 3-3, 50% -58 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-2, 50% -28 | VS San Diego Padres | 2-2, 50% 36 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-7, 56% 174 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% 37 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -150 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% -1 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Nestor Cortes Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Anthony DeSclafani Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-31, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-24, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-3, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 50-29, 63% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Anthony DeSclafani STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 36-21, 63% +1437 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 24-30, 44% -1085 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-3, 70% +421 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-3, 50% -58
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 34-23, 60% +424 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 25-29, 46% -1018 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-5, 50% -16 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-3, 50% -58
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 29-19, 60% + 810 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 22-21, 51% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 2-1, 67% + 90
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