The Detroit Tigers are 36-21 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 22-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Darren McCaughan. Jack Flaherty has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Darren McCaughan has a 36% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 54%. In Darren McCaughan quality starts the Twins win 70%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-34, 39% -1402 | Record at Home | 36-21, 63% 478 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-4, 33% -220 | VS Minnesota Twins | 4-2, 67% 118 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-40, 38% -1636 | vs Team .500 or Better | 29-30, 49% -640 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 11-25, 31% -1209 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-18, 62% 86 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Darren McCaughan Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 11-15, 42% -703 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-6, 25% -376 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -206 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-7, 42% -261 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-8, 20% -664 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-4, 20% -215 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-6, 45% -215 | EVEN |
| When Darren McCaughan Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 2-3, 40% -136 | Minnesota Twins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-32, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-30, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Darren McCaughan STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS | 14-11, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 33-23, 59% +802 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-28, 51% +72 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-4, 50% +216 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-7, 46% +65
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 37-19, 66% +851 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 33-24, 58% -133 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -211 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-9, 31% -558
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 22-23, 49% -330 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
