August 06, 2025 7:52 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves 8/6/2025

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The Atlanta Braves are 26-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 30-24 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Strider is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Jose Quintana. Spencer Strider has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Quintana has a 46% chance of a QS. If Spencer Strider has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Jose Quintana quality starts the Brewers win 61%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-24, 56% 640Record at Home26-26, 50% -920Milwaukee Brewers
VS Atlanta Braves1-2, 33% -101VS Milwaukee Brewers2-1, 67% 27Atlanta Braves
vs Team Under .50034-25, 58% 120vs Team .500 or Better23-33, 41% -1519Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog21-18, 54% 650Record As Home Favorite23-22, 51% -840Milwaukee Brewers
When Jose Quintana Starts9-5, 64% 451When Spencer Strider Starts5-9, 36% -575Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-1, 88% 633Record at Home2-4, 33% -229Milwaukee Brewers
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50011-0, 100% 1012vs Team .500 or Better4-10, 29% -622Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog5-1, 83% 517Record As Home Favorite1-3, 25% -224Milwaukee Brewers
When Jose Quintana Starts3-1, 75% 227When Spencer Strider Starts2-2, 50% -44Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-27, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-30, 41% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON26-55, 32% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS5-8, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Spencer Strider STARTS5-8, 38% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 25-29, 46% -955 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 25-27, 48% -840 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 1-7, 12% -621 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-3, 50% -35

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 28-26, 52% -516 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 26-26, 50% -993 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-6, 25% -469 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-4, 33% -244

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-22, 49% -320 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 18-27, 40% -1170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-7, 0% -770 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190

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