The Atlanta Braves are 26-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 30-24 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Strider is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Jose Quintana. Spencer Strider has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Quintana has a 46% chance of a QS. If Spencer Strider has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Jose Quintana quality starts the Brewers win 61%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 30-24, 56% 640 | Record at Home | 26-26, 50% -920 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -101 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 27 | Atlanta Braves |
vs Team Under .500 | 34-25, 58% 120 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-33, 41% -1519 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 21-18, 54% 650 | Record As Home Favorite | 23-22, 51% -840 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Jose Quintana Starts | 9-5, 64% 451 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 5-9, 36% -575 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 7-1, 88% 633 | Record at Home | 2-4, 33% -229 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 11-0, 100% 1012 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-10, 29% -622 | Milwaukee Brewers |
Record As Road Underdog | 5-1, 83% 517 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-3, 25% -224 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Jose Quintana Starts | 3-1, 75% 227 | When Spencer Strider Starts | 2-2, 50% -44 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-27, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-30, 41% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Strider STARTS | 5-8, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 25-29, 46% -955 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 25-27, 48% -840 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 1-7, 12% -621 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-3, 50% -35
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 28-26, 52% -516 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 26-26, 50% -993 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-6, 25% -469 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-4, 33% -244
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-22, 49% -320 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 18-27, 40% -1170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-7, 0% -770 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190
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