The Miami Marlins are 26-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 27-25 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Janson Junk is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti. Janson Junk has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Arrighetti has a 45% chance of a QS. If Janson Junk has a quality start the Marlins has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 61%. In Spencer Arrighetti quality starts the Astros win 64%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-25, 52% 1 | Record at Home | 26-29, 47% 150 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 29-24, 55% -213 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-30, 42% 110 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-12, 56% -185 | Record as Home Underdog | 22-24, 48% 340 | Miami Marlins |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 3-1, 75% 165 | When Janson Junk Starts | 5-2, 71% 478 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-4, 50% 17 | Record at Home | 6-2, 75% 436 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-13, 13% -1120 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-1, 67% 163 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -17 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-1, 80% 373 | Miami Marlins |
| When Spencer Arrighetti Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Janson Junk Starts | 4-1, 80% 425 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-25, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-33, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Arrighetti STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Janson Junk STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-30, 42% -942 Miami Marlins Home Games: 32-23, 58% +843 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-5, 38% -296 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-2, 75% +460
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 26-26, 50% -534 Miami Marlins Home Games: 30-25, 55% -230 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-5, 38% -296 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-4, 50% +9
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 20-18, 53% + 20 Miami Marlins Home Games: 27-23, 54% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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