The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 24-33 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Trevor Rogers. Ranger Suarez has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 47% chance of a QS. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 67%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Orioles win 58%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-33, 42% -641 | Record at Home | 34-20, 63% 76 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 28-34, 45% -493 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-23, 51% -561 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-27, 43% -352 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-19, 61% -234 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 6-3, 67% 237 | When Ranger Suarez Starts | 10-6, 62% 106 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -202 | Record at Home | 4-4, 50% -166 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% -111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% -172 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-6, 33% -202 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -166 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 2-2, 50% -59 | When Ranger Suarez Starts | 2-2, 50% -61 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-37, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-24, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-2, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS | 6-9, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 29-28, 51% -264 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 33-21, 61% +218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-3, 67% +214 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-3, 62% +191
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 31-26, 54% -238 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 34-20, 63% +76 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-3, 67% +134 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-4, 50% -166
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 38-15, 72% + 2150 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 19-27, 41% -1070 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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