The New York Mets are 38-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 27-28 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Clay Holmes is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Logan Allen. Clay Holmes has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Allen has a 38% chance of a QS. If Clay Holmes has a quality start the Mets has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 73%. In Logan Allen quality starts the Guardians win 57%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 45% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-28, 49% 101 | Record at Home | 38-17, 69% 748 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-37, 39% -1138 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-20, 53% 135 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-21, 46% 87 | Record As Home Favorite | 34-12, 74% 806 | New York Mets |
| When Logan Allen Starts | 9-12, 43% -416 | When Clay Holmes Starts | 14-10, 58% -130 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-3, 70% 452 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% -123 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-5, 64% 192 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -606 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-2, 67% 333 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% -23 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Logan Allen Starts | 2-2, 50% -75 | When Clay Holmes Starts | 3-4, 43% -151 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-29, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-27, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-49, 39% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 8-12, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Clay Holmes STARTS | 12-12, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 29-26, 53% +441 New York Mets Home Games: 26-29, 47% -1022 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-7, 30% -429 New York Mets Home Games: 5-4, 56% +30
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 31-24, 56% +14 New York Mets Home Games: 31-24, 56% -515 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-7, 30% -429 New York Mets Home Games: 6-3, 67% +93
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 22-21, 51% -110 New York Mets Home Games: 23-19, 55% + 210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 New York Mets Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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