The New York Mets are 45-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 32-35 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Kodai Senga has a 50% chance of a QS and Sandy Alcantara a 45% chance. If Kodai Senga has a quality start the Mets has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 68%. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jakob Marsee who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 32-35, 48% 1122 | Record at Home | 45-25, 64% 534 | Miami Marlins |
| VS New York Mets | 3-5, 38% 34 | VS Miami Marlins | 5-3, 62% -69 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 28-39, 42% 21 | vs Team Under .500 | 45-35, 56% -787 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 30-31, 49% 1372 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-20, 65% 192 | Miami Marlins |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 12-15, 44% -200 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 14-7, 67% 178 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -298 | Record at Home | 8-9, 47% -263 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 1-1, 50% 108 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-1, 50% -45 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -13 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -196 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -183 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-9, 31% -663 | Miami Marlins |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-4, 20% -321 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 3-3, 50% -86 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 34-32, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 36-32, 53% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 11-6, 65% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 14-13, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kodai Senga STARTS | 5-13, 28% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 34-33, 51% +1161 New York Mets Home Games: 31-39, 44% -1357 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 10-3, 77% +1044 New York Mets Home Games: 6-11, 35% -384
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 35-32, 52% -1025 New York Mets Home Games: 35-35, 50% -1293 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-4, 69% +263 New York Mets Home Games: 5-12, 29% -827
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 31-23, 57% + 570 New York Mets Home Games: 29-24, 55% + 260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 New York Mets Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250
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