The Toronto Blue Jays are 44-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 38-28 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Freddy Peralta. Kevin Gausman has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Freddy Peralta has a 44% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 61%. In Freddy Peralta quality starts the Brewers win 65%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-28, 58% 923 | Record at Home | 44-23, 66% 1342 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 112 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-23, 63% 1636 | vs Team .500 or Better | 38-32, 54% 785 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-20, 55% 790 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-16, 61% 44 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 17-10, 63% 316 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 13-14, 48% -207 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-4, 71% 399 | Record at Home | 7-6, 54% -85 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 112 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% -47 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -212 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-2, 60% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -170 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-1, 75% 155 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 1-4, 20% -355 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 32-31, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 38-25, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 15-12, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 13-10, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 29-37, 44% -1413 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 34-33, 51% -150 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-10, 29% -658 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-9, 31% -598
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 33-33, 50% -821 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 36-31, 54% -403 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-8, 43% -353 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-7, 46% -277
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 25-24, 51% -140 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 29-28, 51% -180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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