The Washington Nationals are 21-33 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 30-24 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Brad Lord has a 46% chance of a QS and Jacob Misiorowski a 50% chance. If Brad Lord has a quality start the Nationals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 51%. If Jacob Misiorowski has a quality start the Brewers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 71% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-24, 56% 640 | Record at Home | 21-33, 39% -725 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Washington Nationals | 5-0, 100% 246 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-5, 0% -500 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-25, 58% 120 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-39, 35% -1057 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-6, 60% -10 | Record as Home Underdog | 20-24, 45% 114 | Washington Nationals |
| When Jacob Misiorowski Starts | 5-2, 71% 324 | When Brad Lord Starts | 3-4, 43% 49 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-2, 82% 710 | Record at Home | 3-8, 27% -451 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Washington Nationals | 5-0, 100% 246 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-5, 0% -500 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-0, 100% 1012 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-11, 21% -751 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 100 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-7, 30% -351 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Jacob Misiorowski Starts | 2-1, 67% 99 | When Brad Lord Starts | 2-0, 100% 304 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-27, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-23, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jacob Misiorowski STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brad Lord STARTS | 2-5, 29% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 25-29, 46% -955 Washington Nationals Home Games: 24-30, 44% -383 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-8, 27% -608 Washington Nationals Home Games: 2-9, 18% -712
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 28-26, 52% -516 Washington Nationals Home Games: 23-31, 43% -1372 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -363 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -420
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-22, 49% -320 Washington Nationals Home Games: 20-22, 48% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-8, 20% -680 Washington Nationals Home Games: 1-9, 10% -890
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