The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 27-27 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Seth Lugo. Chris Bassitt has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Seth Lugo has a 46% chance of a QS. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 68%. In Seth Lugo quality starts the Royals win 55%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-27, 50% 367 | Record at Home | 38-18, 68% 1396 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 28 | VS Kansas City Royals | 1-1, 50% -31 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-35, 40% -969 | vs Team .500 or Better | 33-26, 56% 913 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-18, 56% 968 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-12, 64% 183 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 11-10, 52% 80 | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 14-7, 67% 462 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 176 | Record at Home | 9-2, 82% 496 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 28 | VS Kansas City Royals | 1-1, 50% -31 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% 25 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% -251 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 297 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-2, 75% 191 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 3-2, 60% 80 | When Chris Bassitt Starts | 3-1, 75% 128 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-30, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 30-22, 58% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 8-13, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 9-11, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-28, 48% +444 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 31-25, 55% +417 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -278 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-6, 45% -181
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-28, 48% -753 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 31-25, 55% -157 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -211 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-4, 64% +85
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 28-20, 58% + 600 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
